Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)


	Aleksandar Vukic		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.21	1.59
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.63)	1.62 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
42.1%

Jakub Mensik
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aleksandar Vukic's performance.

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Mensik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aleksandar Vukic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Mensik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Aleksandar Vukic - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 97. Mensik is ranked ATP: 64.

Vukic is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mensik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mensik will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vukic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
23.07.24	Mattia Bellucci - Aleksandar Vukic	Bellucci M. retired ✺
ATP Newport
19.07.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LL?LW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Jakub Mensik - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Jakub Mensik - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
26.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL

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