Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Nuno Borges		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.78	2.00
	1.75	2.08
	1.83	2.13
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.77	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.13)	2.07 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
54%

Adrian Mannarino
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuno Borges's performance.

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Mannarino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Mannarino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nuno Borges - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Mannarino will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adrian Mannarino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 54. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 44.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Borges won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Halle
15.06.26	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Nuno Borges - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Nuno Borges - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Nuno Borges - Andrey Rublev	0:3 ✺
27.05.26	Nuno Borges - Miomir Kecmanovic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP London
17.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Nuno Borges - Adrian Mannarino	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Adrian Mannarino - Nuno Borges	1:2

Nuno Borges - Adrian Mannarino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide