Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Nuno Borges		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.64	Watch
	1.49	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	2.62 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
63.7%

Pedro Martinez Portero
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuno Borges's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Nuno Borges - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Martinez Portero (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Martinez Portero (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pedro Martinez Portero will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 2 - 20%). Martinez Portero (votes: 8 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 43. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 51.

Borges is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borges will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Borges won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.23%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges	Rune H. retired ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?LWLL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
04.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. retired ✺
03.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
08.05.24	Nuno Borges - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1
ATP Challenger
19.05.21	Nuno Borges - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0

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