Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Nuno Borges		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.56)	2.74 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
66%

Alexander Bublik
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuno Borges's performance.

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Bublik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bublik will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 36. Bublik is ranked ATP: 82.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Borges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borges will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borges won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Nuno Borges - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Nuno Borges - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
10.05.24	Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik	2:0

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