Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.03	1.77	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.8)	1.76 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
46.4%

Nuno Borges
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Borges will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Borges (votes: 11 - 61.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 51. Borges is ranked ATP: 43.

Two players are playing changeable.

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Marrakech
02.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Marrakech
02.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Nuno Borges - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Nuno Borges - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
25.04.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges	0:2

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