Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Zizou Bergs		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78	Watch
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.17	1.69	Watch
	2.02	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.9)	1.78 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
46.8%

Nuno Borges
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Zizou Bergs - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Borges will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bergs: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 51. Borges is ranked ATP: 42.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Borges could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bergs won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Zizou Bergs - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Luca Nardi - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Aziz Dougaz - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Nuno Borges - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Nuno Borges - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
13.02.25	Nuno Borges - Zizou Bergs	1:2
ATP Auckland
09.01.25	Nuno Borges - Zizou Bergs	1:2
ITF Tournaments
26.01.20	Zizou Bergs - Nuno Borges	0:2

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