Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tokyo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	10:00	Max Sport 3
Germany	09:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	09:00	Ziggo Sport 4
United Kingdom	08:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Nuno Borges		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
			Watch
	5.1	1.15	Watch
	5.19	1.2
	4.88	1.18	Watch
	5.55	1.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.95)	1.16 ↓ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
18.2%

Taylor Harry Fritz
81.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuno Borges's form might have worsened.

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taylor Harry Fritz's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nuno Borges - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fritz will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Borges (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 51. Fritz is ranked ATP: 5.

In recent matches, Borges has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fritz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Borges may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fritz is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Borges won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Tokyo
23.09.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Nuno Borges - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
26.08.25	Nuno Borges - Brandon Holt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Nuno Borges	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Basel
30.10.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nuno Borges	✺
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Basel
30.10.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Arthur Fils	✺

Nuno Borges - Taylor Harry Fritz