Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - Final

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Nuria Brancaccio		Oleksandra Oliynykova

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.02	1.85
	2.03	1.74	Watch
	2.07	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.69)	1.75 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Brancaccio
46%

Oleksandra Oliynykova
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuria Brancaccio's form might have worsened.

Oleksandra Oliynykova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandra Oliynykova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuria Brancaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandra Oliynykova than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandra Oliynykova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Nuria Brancaccio - Oleksandra Oliynykova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Oliynykova (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Oleksandra Oliynykova will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oleksandra Oliynykova will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Oliynykova (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 188. Oliynykova is ranked WTA: 163.

Now, both players are in good form.

Brancaccio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Oliynykova will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brancaccio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Arantxa Rus - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Lola Radivojevic	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWL
- Oleksandra Oliynykova
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Silvia Ambrosio - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Tamara Zidansek - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Mona Barthel - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.10.23	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2
11.10.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Oleksandra Oliynykova	1:2

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