Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rende, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Nuria Brancaccio		Sara Bejlek

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.67	1.49
	2.66	1.45	Watch
	2.64	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.85)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Brancaccio
35.6%

Sara Bejlek
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sara Bejlek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuria Brancaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Bejlek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Nuria Brancaccio - Sara Bejlek Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brancaccio will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bejlek will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brancaccio (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 153. Bejlek is ranked WTA: 117.

Brancaccio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bejlek's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brancaccio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bejlek could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brancaccio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Carson Branstine - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Barbora Palicova	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Arantxa Rus - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Lola Radivojevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Sara Bejlek
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Anouk Koevermans - Sara Bejlek	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2
ITF Tournaments
29.04.22	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0

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