Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Nuria Parrizas Diaz		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.97	1.75	Watch
	3.11	1.33	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Parrizas Diaz
43.5%

Elvina Kalieva
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Parrizas Diaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Elvina Kalieva Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Parrizas Diaz will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kalieva will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parrizas Diaz: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Parrizas Diaz (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kalieva (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Parrizas Diaz is ranked WTA: 216. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 205.

Kalieva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Parrizas Diaz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Parrizas Diaz
WTA US Open
24.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Polina Kudermetova	Parrizas-Diaz N. retired ✺
WTA Cleveland
17.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Yafan Wang	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Anna Danilina	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
05.08.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Maddison Inglis	1:2 ✺
WTA Prague
22.07.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	Parrizas-Diaz N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LWL?
- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
05.12.25	Elvina Kalieva - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Elvina Kalieva - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Dalayna Hewitt	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Romina Dominguez Garcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.09.21	Elvina Kalieva - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	0:2

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