Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Oliver Crawford		Garrett Johns

	1	2
	1.67	2.1
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.18
	1.64	2.29
	1.65	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	2.21 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Crawford
57.4%

Garrett Johns
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Crawford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Garrett Johns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Oliver Crawford - Garrett Johns Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Crawford will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Johns will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawford: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Johns (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Johns (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Johns (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Crawford is ranked ATP: 232. Johns is ranked ATP: 303.

Recent performances by Crawford have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Johns is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Crawford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Crawford might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Crawford
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Alex Bolt - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.07.25	Aryan Shah - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Robin Bertrand - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Matias Soto - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- Garrett Johns
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Garrett Johns - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	Michael Zheng - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Trevor Svajda - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Alex Bolt - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Garrett Johns - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WLWWW

Oliver Crawford - Garrett Johns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide