Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Olle Wallin		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.74	1.96	Watch
	1.78	2.02
	1.70	2.01	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	2.02 (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olle Wallin
53.8%

Matthew Donald
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olle Wallin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olle Wallin than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+2%)

Olle Wallin - Matthew Donald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wallin is ranked ATP: 415., and Donald is ranked ATP: 460..

Wallin has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Donald shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Donald may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Wallin has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.7%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olle Wallin
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Olle Wallin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Zdenek Kolar - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Norbert Gombos - Olle Wallin	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Matthias Ujvary - Olle Wallin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWW
- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Matthew Donald - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Matthew Donald - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Dali Blanch - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Matthew Donald - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Matthew Donald - Lorenzo Rottoli	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Olle Wallin - Matthew Donald	2:0

Olle Wallin - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide