Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo 4, hard - Final

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Omar Jasika		Koki Matsuda

	1	2
	1.48	2.40
	1.49	2.43
	1.51	2.6
	1.48	2.43	Watch
	1.49	2.55
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.65)	2.48 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
62.5%

Koki Matsuda
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omar Jasika's performance.

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koki Matsuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omar Jasika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koki Matsuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Omar Jasika - Koki Matsuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 531. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 483.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Omar Jasika - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Yuki Mochizuki - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Yusuke Takahashi - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Kousuke Ogura - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Omar Jasika - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Koki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Koki Matsuda - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Koki Matsuda - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Koki Matsuda - Reiya Komagata	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

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