Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Omar Jasika		Koki Matsuda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.20	3.90
	1.26	3.50	Watch
	1.19	4.17	Watch
	1.18	4.40
	1.20	4.05	Watch
	1.20	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)	4 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
76.9%

Koki Matsuda
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omar Jasika's performance.

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koki Matsuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omar Jasika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koki Matsuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Omar Jasika - Koki Matsuda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jasika will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 422., and Matsuda is ranked ATP: 481..

Jasika has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Matsuda is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Matsuda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Jasika carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jasika has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Omar Jasika - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 70.92%, but this team recently wins 85% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Liam Draxl - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Omar Jasika - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Timofei Derepasko - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLW
- Koki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Millen Hurrion - Koki Matsuda	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Evan Zhu - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Arthur Weber - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Philip Sekulic - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Omar Jasika - Koki Matsuda	2:1

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