The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvaro Guillen Meza 29.5%
Joao Fonseca 70.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
64.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
63%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvaro Guillen Meza's form might have worsened.
Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvaro Guillen Meza - Joao Fonseca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Guillen Meza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Fonseca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Fonseca will have a small advantage in this match.