Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday


	Otto Virtanen		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.68	2.07	Watch
	1.77	2.12
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.68	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.97)	2.07 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
54.8%

Luca Van Assche
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otto Virtanen's performance.

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Van Assche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Van Assche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Otto Virtanen - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Van Assche will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 114. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 117.

Recent matches Virtanen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Van Assche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Virtanen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
23.10.24	Otto Virtanen - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Otto Virtanen - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
17.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Otto Virtanen - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
23.10.24	Luca Van Assche - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Emilio Nava - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
15.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
14.10.24	Luca Van Assche - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Luca Van Assche - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.08.22	Luca Van Assche - Otto Virtanen	0:2
ITF Tournaments
10.03.21	Luca Van Assche - Otto Virtanen	2:0

Otto Virtanen - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide