Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday


	Karen Khachanov		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.41	2.85	Watch
	1.52	2.7
	1.54	2.56	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.41	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	2.79 ↑ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
65.8%

Otto Virtanen
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Karen Khachanov - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Virtanen will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 26. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 116.

Recent matches Khachanov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtanen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtanen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Khachanov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Marcos Giron - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Almaty
15.10.24	Otto Virtanen - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.09.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

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