Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.38
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.57	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	2.28 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
58.7%

Luca Van Assche
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 104. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 238.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Van Assche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
18.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Luka Pavlovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Pierluigi Basile - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
18.10.25	Hugo Grenier - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Luca Van Assche - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Stefano Travaglia - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

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