Match Info

Date: 22 April 2022, Friday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.5	2.6
	1.49	2.55
	1.52	2.72
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	2.61 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
63.5%

Lorenzo Sonego
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (80 of 92 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.08% – 93.84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carreno Busta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Barcelona
20.04.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
13.04.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired ✺
11.04.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WL?WL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Barcelona
19.04.22	Elias Ymer - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
12.04.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.22	Denis Kudla - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.19	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0
ATP Antalya
29.06.19	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2

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