Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	1.6	2.3
	1.29	3.42	Watch
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.63	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)	2.5 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
61.6%

Elmer Moller
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Moller will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123. Moller is ranked ATP: 113.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Daniel Rincon - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Ben Shelton - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Elmer Moller
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Jaume Munar - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.25	Yanaki Milev - Elmer Moller	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWL

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