Match Info

Date: 6 May 2022, Friday


	Pablo Cuevas		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.6	2.28
	1.57	2.2
	1.64	2.28
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)	2.28 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Cuevas
58.8%

Pavel Kotov
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Cuevas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Cuevas's form might have worsened.

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Kotov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Cuevas than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Cuevas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Pablo Cuevas - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Cuevas will win (30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.12% – 97.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cuevas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kotov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cuevas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Cuevas
ATP Challenger
03.05.22	Pablo Cuevas - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
27.04.22	Pablo Cuevas - Fernando Verdasco	0:2 ✺
27.04.22	Pablo Cuevas - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	Canceled
26.04.22	Pablo Cuevas - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Pablo Cuevas - Pedro Araujo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WL?WW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
03.05.22	Pavel Kotov - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
14.04.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
11.04.22	Gian Marco Moroni - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
07.04.22	Richard Gasquet - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
06.04.22	Pavel Kotov - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

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