Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tyler, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday


	Patrick Maloney		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.1
	1.65	2.11
	1.64	2.16
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.09	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	2.11 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Patrick Maloney
56%

Naoki Nakagawa
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Maloney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patrick Maloney's performance.

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naoki Nakagawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Maloney than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Patrick Maloney - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Maloney is ranked ATP: 342. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 349.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Nakagawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Patrick Maloney - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Maloney
ATP Challenger
29.05.25	Patrick Maloney - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Patrick Maloney - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
27.05.25	Patrick Maloney - Darwin Blanch	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.05.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Noah Schachter - Patrick Maloney	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LW?LW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
30.05.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Alexis Galarneau - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Alexander Kotzen	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Moerani Bouzige - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Sanhui Shin - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLL

Patrick Maloney - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide