Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SOFIA (BULGARIA), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pavel Kotov		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.31	1.68
	2.27	1.71
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.24	1.65	Watch
	2.4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.55)	1.64 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
41.5%

Adrian Mannarino
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Pavel Kotov - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 26 - 81.3%). Mannarino will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 67.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mannarino will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Sofia
09.11.23	Marton Fucsovics - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. retired ✺
07.11.23	Alexandar Lazarov - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.10.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Pavel Kotov	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
22.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?W?L
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Sofia
09.11.23	Sebastian Ofner - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
20.10.23	Gael Monfils - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

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