Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: STOCKHOLM (SWEDEN), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pavel Kotov		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.8	1.45
	2.87	1.47
	2.87	1.48
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.41	1.57	Watch
	2.85	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.79)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
34.8%

Gael Monfils
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pavel Kotov - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Monfils will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Monfils is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monfils could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monfils will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Monfils to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Stockholm
21.10.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
20.10.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Stockholm
21.10.23	Laslo Djere - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
20.10.23	Gael Monfils - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	Filip Misolic - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	Gael Monfils - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.23	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

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