Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Daniel Elahi Galan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.63	1.45
	2.57	1.53
	2.48	1.47	Watch
	2.50	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
37.7%

Daniel Elahi Galan
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Elahi Galan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pavel Kotov - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 243. Galan is ranked ATP: 290.

Kotov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Galan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Galan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Galan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Leo Raquillet - Pavel Kotov	Kotov P. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Franco Ribero - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Pavel Kotov - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Cezar Cretu - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?WLLL
- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mika Petkovic	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Filippo Romano - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Chengdu
21.09.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Pavel Kotov	0:2

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