Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Elias Ymer		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.80	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.98	1.89
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.97	1.86
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.80	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
50.1%

Pavel Kotov
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Elias Ymer - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Ymer (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 204. Kotov is ranked ATP: 250.

Ymer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ymer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ymer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ymer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Elias Ymer - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.76%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.24%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Elias Ymer	Ymer E. Retired ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Franco Roncadelli - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Daniil Glinka - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Elias Ymer - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LWLW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Pavel Kotov - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Leo Raquillet - Pavel Kotov	Kotov P. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Franco Ribero - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Pavel Kotov - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.05.22	Elias Ymer - Pavel Kotov	0:2
ATP Moscow
16.10.21	Pavel Kotov - Elias Ymer	0:2

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