Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Cezar Cretu		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.33	1.54
	2.49	1.6
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.29	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.84)	1.56 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cezar Cretu
40%

Pavel Kotov
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cezar Cretu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cezar Cretu's form might have worsened.

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Kotov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cezar Cretu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Cezar Cretu - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cretu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cretu is ranked ATP: 370. Kotov is ranked ATP: 255.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kotov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Cezar Cretu - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Cezar Cretu - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Cezar Cretu - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Cezar Cretu - Alexander Cozbinov	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Cezar Cretu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Pavel Kotov - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Leandro Riedi	Kotov P. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov	Zhou Y. Retired ✺
12.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WL??W

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