Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HONG KONG (HONG KONG), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 3 January 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: HONG KONG (HONG KONG) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:15	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:15	SportKlub
Croatia	15:15	SportKlub
Finland	16:15	MTV Urheilu
Portugal	14:15	Sport TV
Serbia	15:15	SportKlub
Slovenia	15:15	SportKlub


	Lorenzo Musetti		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.68	2.29
	1.71	2.24
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.72	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.56)	2.17 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
56.1%

Pavel Kotov
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	0%	47.8%

Lorenzo Musetti - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Kotov will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Musetti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Hong Kong
02.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
25.11.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
08.11.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
10.11.23	Pavel Kotov - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Marton Fucsovics - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. retired ✺
07.11.23	Alexandar Lazarov - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.06.19	Lorenzo Musetti - Pavel Kotov	2:0

Lorenzo Musetti - Pavel Kotov