Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open (France), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Pavel Kotov		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.63	2.42
	1.63	2.43
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.65	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
58.5%

Stanislas Wawrinka
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.5%	0%	32.5%

Pavel Kotov - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 27 - 67.5%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 13 - 32.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 53% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Wawrinka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Cameron Norrie - Pavel Kotov	2:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
23.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
20.05.24	Pedro Cachin - Pavel Kotov	0:2
20.05.24	Mariano Navone - Pavel Kotov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWW?
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Andy Murray	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
15.05.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Nuno Borges - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

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