Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday


	Mariano Navone		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.53	2.5
	1.5	2.55
	1.52	2.5
	1.55	2.58
	1.56	2.58
	1.53	2.5
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	2.52 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
62.3%

Pavel Kotov
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mariano Navone - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navone will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Mariano Navone - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Ben Shelton - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.24	Jannik Sinner - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW

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