Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon (France) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Sturmer T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	23:45	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	16:45	Max Sport 3
Finland	16:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	15:45	beIN Sports
Germany	15:45	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	14:45	Sport TV6
Romania	16:45	Prima Sport 3


	Pavel Kotov		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.95	1.82	Watch
	2	1.89
	2.01	1.89
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.12)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
48%

Alexandre Muller
52%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pavel Kotov - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Muller will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kotov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muller is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Lyon
20.05.24	Pedro Cachin - Pavel Kotov	0:2
20.05.24	Mariano Navone - Pavel Kotov	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Ben Shelton - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.24	Jannik Sinner - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 W?LWL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Lyon
19.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.24	Nicolas Jarry - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Arthur Fils - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	2:0

Pavel Kotov - Alexandre Muller