Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3


	Pavel Kotov		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.68	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.21
	1.74	2.22
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.17	Watch
	1.77	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)	2.15 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
55.4%

Alexander Bublik
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	0%	34.3%

Pavel Kotov - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Bublik will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Lyon
21.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
20.05.24	Pedro Cachin - Pavel Kotov	0:2
20.05.24	Mariano Navone - Pavel Kotov	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Ben Shelton - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WW?LW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Lyon
21.05.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Alexander Bublik - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.02.19	Alexander Bublik - Pavel Kotov	2:1

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