Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.18
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.75	2.07
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.11)	2.19 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
57.4%

Pedro Martinez Portero
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Llamas Ruiz's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Llamas Ruiz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Llamas Ruiz (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 144., and Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 130..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Martinez Portero may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Llamas Ruiz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Llamas Ruiz has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
05.10.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Raul Brancaccio - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Daniel Rincon - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	August Holmgren - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Laslo Djere - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.01.24	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2
29.03.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2

Upcoming Matches