Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tomas Machac		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.11	1.35
	3.29	1.38
	3.09	1.37	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.23	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.65)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
30.5%

Taylor Harry Fritz
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.3%	3.3%	53.3%

Tomas Machac - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Fritz will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fritz (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Fritz (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Machac (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 40.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5 Games - Fritz (3.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Fritz (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 22. Fritz is ranked ATP: 4.

Machac has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fritz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Fritz is the team to beat.

We predict that Fritz will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Machac won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Ugo Blanchet - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Jerome Kym - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3 ✺
27.08.25	Lloyd Harris - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Emilio Nava - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP United Cup
04.01.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired
ATP Roland Garros
27.09.20	Tomas Machac - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:3

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