Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.89
	1.95	1.82	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.01)	1.8 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
48.2%

Gonzalo Bueno
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bueno will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 309. Bueno is ranked ATP: 248.

Alvarez Varona is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bueno's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bueno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Liam Draxl - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide