Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Peter Makk		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.21	1.65
	2.14	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peter Makk
42.6%

Miguel Tobon
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peter Makk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peter Makk's form might have worsened.

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Tobon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peter Makk than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peter Makk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Peter Makk - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Users Predictions: Miguel Tobon will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miguel Tobon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Makk is ranked ATP: 1311. Tobon is ranked ATP: 682.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peter Makk
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Karan Singh - Peter Makk	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Peter Makk - Matthew Summers	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Peter Makk - Carl Holder	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Michal Krajci - Peter Makk	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Peter Makk - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
13.08.25	Arthur Fery - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLW?L

Peter Makk - Miguel Tobon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide