Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chennai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Petr Bar-Biryukov		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.39
	3.04	1.41
	3.11	1.32	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.22)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Bar-Biryukov
32.7%

Sumit Nagal
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Bar-Biryukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petr Bar-Biryukov's form might have worsened.

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Petr Bar Biryukov - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bar-Biryukov will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Nagal will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bar-Biryukov (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nagal (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Bar-Biryukov (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Bar-Biryukov (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bar-Biryukov (votes: 4 - 80%). Nagal (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 305. Nagal is ranked ATP: 293.

Bar-Biryukov is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nagal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nagal might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Ishaque Eqbal	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Lachlan McFadzean	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Felix Gill - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Sumit Nagal - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Sumit Nagal - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	Noguchi R. retired ✺
12.01.26	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLL?W

Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide