Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.30	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.29	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.9)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
40.7%

Sumit Nagal
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 50%). Nagal (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Nagal (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 25%). Nagal (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 250. Nagal is ranked ATP: 297.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noguchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sumit Nagal - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.32%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Rawat Sidharth	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Maximus Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Federico Cina - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Felix Gill - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Sumit Nagal - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	Noguchi R. retired

Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide