Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Petr Brunclik		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.61	2.38
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)	2.36 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Brunclik
60.5%

Federico Arnaboldi
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Brunclik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Brunclik than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Petr Brunclik - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brunclik will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brunclik is ranked ATP: 310. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 429.

Brunclik is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arnaboldi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arnaboldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brunclik might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.64%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Brunclik
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Petr Brunclik - Maxim Mrva	Canceled ✺
26.02.26	Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Petr Brunclik - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Petr Brunclik - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LWWW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Federico Arnaboldi - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Felix Gill - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Alejandro Juan Mano - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW

Petr Brunclik - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide