Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Centurion, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday


	Philip Henning		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.86	1.85
	1.88	1.97
	1.82	1.87	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.44)	1.93 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Henning
51.7%

Stefano Napolitano
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Henning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philip Henning's performance.

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Henning than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philip Henning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Napolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Philip Henning - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Henning will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Henning is ranked ATP: 319. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 246.

Henning is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Napolitano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Henning may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Napolitano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Napolitano - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.24%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Henning
ATP Challenger
28.05.26	Philip Henning - Luc Koenig	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Philip Henning - Connor Henry Van Schalkwyk	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Philip Henning - David Jorda Sanchis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Marvin Moeller - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Nicholas David Ionel - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
28.05.26	Alec Beckley - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Stefan Vujic - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Jakub Paul - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Stefano Napolitano	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLL?

Philip Henning - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide