Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Hugo Dellien		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	1.53	2.36
	1.55	2.54
	1.55	2.26
	1.57	2.25
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
60.5%

Stefano Napolitano
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Hugo Dellien - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien is ranked ATP: 155. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 302.

In recent matches, Dellien has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Napolitano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dellien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dellien could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dellien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.

Stefano Napolitano - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gustavo Heide - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWLL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Stefano Napolitano - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Matias Soto - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Andres Martin - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.05.21	Stefano Napolitano - Hugo Dellien	1:2

Hugo Dellien - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide