Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Bali 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Philip Sekulic		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.13
	1.23	3.55	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	2.62 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Sekulic
63.6%

Hiroki Moriya
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Sekulic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philip Sekulic's performance.

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hiroki Moriya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philip Sekulic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroki Moriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Philip Sekulic - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sekulic is ranked ATP: 602. Moriya is ranked ATP: 365.

Sekulic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moriya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sekulic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sekulic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sekulic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hiroki Moriya - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.26%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Sekulic
ITF Tournaments
11.08.25	Philip Sekulic - Leo Borg	Canceled ✺
08.08.25	Arthur Gea - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Leo Borg - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Philip Sekulic - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Philip Sekulic - Atharva Sharma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 ?LWWW
- Hiroki Moriya
ITF Tournaments
12.08.25	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Yanki Erel - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Tsung-Hao Huang - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Dan Martin - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.02.24	Hiroki Moriya - Philip Sekulic	0:2
02.02.23	Philip Sekulic - Hiroki Moriya	2:1

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