Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LILLE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3	1.36
	2.9	1.36
	3.2	1.32
	3.29	1.35
	2.75	1.4
	3.07	1.35	Watch
	3	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.36)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
30.9%

Brandon Nakashima
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pierre-Hugues Herbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Herbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Herbert won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
22.02.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	David Goffin - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Mark Lajal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Canceled ✺
ATP Marseille
05.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LW?LW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
24.02.24	Brandon Nakashima - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Mattia Bellucci - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
21.02.24	James Kent Trotter - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Joris De Loore - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Brandon Nakashima - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
18.10.21	Brandon Nakashima - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0

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