Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Pol Martin Tiffon		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.95	1.35
	2.88	1.43
	2.68	1.44	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.37)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pol Martin Tiffon
32.1%

Elmer Moller
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pol Martin Tiffon's form might have worsened.

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elmer Moller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmer Moller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Pol Martin Tiffon - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: Elmer Moller will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 266. Moller is ranked ATP: 153.

Martin Tiffon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martin Tiffon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moller will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
23.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
22.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
13.11.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Elmer Moller - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Vit Kopriva - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Elmer Moller - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Vilius Gaubas - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW

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