Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Pol Martin Tiffon		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)	1.59 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pol Martin Tiffon
41.5%

Vilius Gaubas
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pol Martin Tiffon's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pol Martin Tiffon - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martin Tiffon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 240. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 198.

Martin Tiffon in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gaubas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaubas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Gaubas to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Martin Tiffon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.37%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
05.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Justin Engel - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
05.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.04.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Vilius Gaubas	0:2
17.11.21	Pol Martin Tiffon - Vilius Gaubas	2:0

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