Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - Final

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Polina Iatcenko		Gabriela Knutson

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.68	2.27
	1.58	2.26	Watch
	1.65	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
57.9%

Gabriela Knutson
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gabriela Knutson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Polina Iatcenko - Gabriela Knutson Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Iatcenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Knutson will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Knutson (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 267. Knutson is ranked WTA: 236.

Recent performances by Iatcenko have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Knutson is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Iatcenko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iatcenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Renata Jamrichova - Polina Iatcenko	Jamrichova R. retired ✺
17.09.25	Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 W?WWL
- Gabriela Knutson
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Gabriela Knutson - Carol Young Suh Lee	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Gabriela Knutson - Daria Snigur	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Eva Vedder - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Gabriela Knutson - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Elza Tomase - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.02.24	Polina Iatcenko - Gabriela Knutson	0:2
19.07.23	Polina Iatcenko - Gabriela Knutson	2:1

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