Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Kaitlin Quevedo		Polina Iatcenko

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2	1.87
	1.80	1.95	Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.53)	1.85 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaitlin Quevedo
49.2%

Polina Iatcenko
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaitlin Quevedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaitlin Quevedo's form might have worsened.

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polina Iatcenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaitlin Quevedo than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaitlin Quevedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polina Iatcenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Kaitlin Quevedo - Polina Iatcenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quevedo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Iatcenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Quevedo is ranked WTA: 173. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 267.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Quevedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Quevedo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaitlin Quevedo
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Petra Marcinko - Kaitlin Quevedo	Marcinko P. retired ✺
18.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Amandine Hesse - Kaitlin Quevedo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Angelina Voloshchuk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WWLW
- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Renata Jamrichova - Polina Iatcenko	Jamrichova R. retired ✺
17.09.25	Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Sofia Costoulas - Polina Iatcenko	Costoulas S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 ?WWL?

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