Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Polina Kudermetova		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.54	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Kudermetova
60.5%

Himeno Sakatsume
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Kudermetova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Himeno Sakatsume has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Kudermetova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Polina Kudermetova - Himeno Sakatsume Predictions

Users Predictions: Polina Kudermetova will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polina Kudermetova will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 167. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 151.

Kudermetova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakatsume is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kudermetova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kudermetova could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Polina Kudermetova - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.24%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Kudermetova
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Yue Yuan - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Lola Radivojevic - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Alina Korneeva - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Polina Kudermetova - Anna-Lena Friedsam	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Polina Kudermetova - Camilla Rosatello	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWLW
- Himeno Sakatsume
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Mayar Sherif - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Tahlia Kokkinis - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Carol Young Suh Lee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

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