Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Quentin Halys		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.5
	2.6	1.5
	2.67	1.54
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.8	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.81)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quentin Halys
36.2%

Mackenzie McDonald
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quentin Halys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quentin Halys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Quentin Halys - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Halys will win (votes: 14 - 36.8%). McDonald will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 47.9% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Halys is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches McDonald is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McDonald could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McDonald will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quentin Halys
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Alex De Minaur - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
23.03.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Quentin Halys - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
02.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL

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