Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Rafael Jodar		George Loffhagen

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.99	1.87
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.17)	1.85 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
49.6%

George Loffhagen
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rafael Jodar's performance.

George Loffhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and George Loffhagen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rafael Jodar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for George Loffhagen than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that George Loffhagen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rafael Jodar - George Loffhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Loffhagen will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 532. Loffhagen is ranked ATP: 292.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Loffhagen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Matteo Martineau - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Dino Prizmic - Rafael Jodar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL
- George Loffhagen
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	George Loffhagen - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Ryan Peniston - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Hamish Stewart - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Charlie Robertson - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - George Loffhagen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

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