Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Matteo Martineau		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.42	1.33
	2.80	1.40	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.27	1.31	Watch
	2.55	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.47)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
31.7%

Rafael Jodar
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Matteo Martineau - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 276. Jodar is ranked ATP: 532.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jodar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Clement Chidekh - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Matias Soto - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Kenny De Schepper - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Matteo Martineau - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Dino Prizmic - Rafael Jodar	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

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